Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Lausanne to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Thun to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
FC Thun vs Lausanne preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Thun take on Lausanne on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stockhorn Arena. FC Thun are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Lausanne sit 12th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
FC Thun's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat FC ST. Gallen 4–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Lausanne's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to FC Zurich 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.0 for FC Thun and 1.7 for Lausanne. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Thun 46%, draw 19%, Lausanne 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Lausanne to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: FC Thun 2–1 Lausanne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Thun46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.80
Lausanne34%fair 2.90 · @3.25
3.64Expected goals
1.97FC Thun xG
1.67Lausanne xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: FC Thun 2.0 – 1.7 Lausanne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Thun to win✗
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.67
Half-time result
FC Thun ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Thun / FT FC Thun✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Form
FC Thun – last 6
WDLWLL
30 Aug
@ FC ST. Gallen
4–3
W
27 Aug
vs Lech Poznan
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Lech Poznan
0–7
L
16 Aug
@ Saxon Sports
6–0
W
13 Aug
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
9 Aug
@ FC Basel 1893
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lausanne – last 6
LLWDWL
29 Aug
vs FC Zurich
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ FC Luzern
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Kosova Neuchatel
6–0
W
8 Aug
vs BSC Young Boys
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ FC Basel 1893
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Saint Etienne
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and Lausanne.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FC Thun vs Lausanne?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lausanne 34%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs Lausanne?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Lausanne?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 2–1 Lausanne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs Lausanne?
FC Thun vs Lausanne (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
