The Super League sees FC Luzern take on FC Vaduz on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Thermoplan Arena. FC Luzern are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC Vaduz sit 11th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Luzern's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Servette FC 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Vaduz's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Grasshoppers 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC Luzern arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for FC Luzern and 1.3 for FC Vaduz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Luzern 64%, draw 15%, FC Vaduz 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.38.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: FC Luzern 2–1 FC Vaduz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Luzern64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw15%fair 6.61 · @4.60
FC Vaduz21%fair 4.86 · @4.33
3.80Expected goals
2.48FC Luzern xG
1.32FC Vaduz xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC Luzern 2.5 – 1.3 FC Vaduz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Luzern to win✓
64%
1.56
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Half-time result
FC Luzern ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Luzern / FT FC Luzern✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.01
–
Form
FC Luzern – last 6
DWWDLL
29 Aug
@ Servette FC
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Lausanne
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Buochs
3–0
W
9 Aug
@ FC ST. Gallen
2–2
D
2 Aug
@ FC Sion
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs FC Thun
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Vaduz – last 6
WLDLLL
30 Aug
vs Grasshoppers
5–2
W
23 Aug
@ BSC Young Boys
2–4
L
13 Aug
vs Inter Turku
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ FC Sion
2–3
L
6 Aug
@ Inter Turku
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs FC ST. Gallen
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Luzern and FC Vaduz.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz?
On our numbers FC Luzern have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Vaduz 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz?
Our predicted score is FC Luzern 2–1 FC Vaduz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz?
FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Thermoplan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.