Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Thun to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗73% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.52
FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys preview and prediction
The match
BSC Young Boys travel to Stockhorn Arena in the Super League on Saturday 1 August (19:30 WAT) to face FC Thun. FC Thun are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while BSC Young Boys sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Thun's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Dinamo Zagreb 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
BSC Young Boys's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat FC Sion 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
BSC Young Boys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys. Across their last 2 meetings FC Thun have won 1, BSC Young Boys 1, with 0 draws and 7.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.1 for FC Thun and 2.1 for BSC Young Boys. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 73% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Thun 40%, draw 21%, BSC Young Boys 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (73%) at 1.35.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Thun 2–2 BSC Young Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Thun40%fair 2.53 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.90
BSC Young Boys39%fair 2.54 · @2.38
4.23Expected goals
2.12FC Thun xG
2.11BSC Young Boys xG
73%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–16%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: FC Thun 2.1 – 2.1 BSC Young Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BSC Young Boys 39%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 2–2 BSC Young Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
