Value bet: FC Basel 1893 to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Basel 1893 to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne preview and prediction
The match
Lausanne travel to St. Jakob-Park in the Super League on Saturday 1 August (17:00 WAT) to face FC Basel 1893. FC Basel 1893 are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Lausanne sit 12th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
FC Basel 1893's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Servette FC 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lausanne's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Saint Etienne 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Lausanne 1–2 FC Basel 1893.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for FC Basel 1893 and 0.8 for Lausanne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Basel 1893 63%, draw 12%, Lausanne 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.45.
Value angle: FC Basel 1893 to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Basel 1893 1–0 Lausanne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Basel 189363%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw12%fair 8.21 · @3.90
Lausanne25%fair 4.08 · @3.45
2.37Expected goals
1.60FC Basel 1893 xG
0.78Lausanne xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Basel 1893 1.6 – 0.8 Lausanne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne?
On our numbers FC Basel 1893 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Lausanne 25%.
How many goals will there be in FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne?
Our predicted score is FC Basel 1893 1–0 Lausanne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne?
FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Jakob-Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
