Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Rishon LeZion to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceHapoel Rishon LeZion or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.12
Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth preview and prediction
The match
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth travel to face Hapoel Rishon LeZion in the Liga Leumit on Thursday 24 September (17:00 WAT). Hapoel Rishon LeZion are 7th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hapoel Rishon LeZion's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Ashdod 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Acre 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Hapoel Rishon LeZion and 0.9 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Safer route: Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Rishon LeZion63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth16%fair 6.26 · @4.00
2.92Expected goals
2.02Hapoel Rishon LeZion xG
0.90Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2.0 – 0.9 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Rishon LeZion ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Rishon LeZion / FT Hapoel Rishon LeZion✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.12
–
Form
Hapoel Rishon LeZion – last 6
LWWWWL
17 Sep
@ Ashdod
2–3
L
10 Sep
vs Kiryat Yam SC
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs Kafr Qasim
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Maccabi Kiryat Gat
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Kladno
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 6
WDLWLL
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Acre
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3–3
D
6 Sep
vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Hapoel Afula
0–1
L
18 Aug
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Rishon LeZion and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
