Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Hapoel Afula to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Afula to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceHapoel Afula or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Afula travel to face Hapoel Acre in the Liga Leumit on Thursday 24 September (17:00 WAT). Hapoel Acre are 16th with 3 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Hapoel Afula sit 5th on 24 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hapoel Acre's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Hapoel Afula's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hapoel Afula arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Hapoel Acre 4–1 Hapoel Afula. Across their last 2 meetings Hapoel Acre have won 1, Hapoel Afula 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Hapoel Acre and 2.2 for Hapoel Afula. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Hapoel Afula to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Afula or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Acre 1–2 Hapoel Afula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Acre15%fair 6.67 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.30
Hapoel Afula60%fair 1.65 · @1.85
3.33Expected goals
1.10Hapoel Acre xG
2.23Hapoel Afula xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Hapoel Acre 1.1 – 2.2 Hapoel Afula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?
Our pick is Hapoel Afula or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?
On our numbers Hapoel Acre have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hapoel Afula 60%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Acre 1–2 Hapoel Afula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?
Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
