Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Neuchatel Xamax FC take on Stade Lausanne-Ouchy on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Neuchatel Xamax FC are 5th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Neuchatel Xamax FC's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Meyrin 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Italien 8–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Neuchatel Xamax FC and 1.8 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neuchatel Xamax FC22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.55
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
2.88Expected goals
1.05Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
1.83Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.0 – 1.8 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6
DWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Meyrin
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ Étoile Carouge
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ FC WIL 1900
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs SC Kriens
3–2
W
11 Jul
@ Lausanne
2–1
W
1 Jul
vs FC Sion
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 6
WWDWWL
16 Aug
@ Italien
8–1
W
7 Aug
vs Rapperswil
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ FC Aarau
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Stade Nyonnais
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ FC Zurich
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Servette FC
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neuchatel Xamax FC and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 57%.
How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
