Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Étoile Carouge or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Étoile Carouge to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultÉtoile Carouge to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceÉtoile Carouge or draw ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge preview and prediction
The match
Étoile Carouge travel to Colovray Sports Centre in the Challenge League on Friday 21 August (18:30 WAT) to face Stade Nyonnais. Stade Nyonnais are 10th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Étoile Carouge sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Stade Nyonnais's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Amical Saint-Prex 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Étoile Carouge's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Collex-Bossy 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Étoile Carouge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Étoile Carouge 0–0 Stade Nyonnais.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Stade Nyonnais and 1.7 for Étoile Carouge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Étoile Carouge or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Étoile Carouge to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Étoile Carouge or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stade Nyonnais 0–1 Étoile Carouge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Nyonnais20%fair 5.09 · @3.35
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.70
Étoile Carouge57%fair 1.74 · @1.90
2.64Expected goals
0.90Stade Nyonnais xG
1.74Étoile Carouge xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Stade Nyonnais 0.9 – 1.7 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Étoile Carouge or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Stade Nyonnais have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Étoile Carouge 57%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Stade Nyonnais 0–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Colovray Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
