Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy preview and prediction
The match
Sturm Graz host LNZ Cherkasy in the Friendlies Clubs on Tuesday 30 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sturm Graz's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Mura 5–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LNZ Cherkasy's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sturm Graz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Sturm Graz and 0.8 for LNZ Cherkasy. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 45% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sturm Graz to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Sturm Graz 2–0 LNZ Cherkasy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz72%fair 1.40 · @1.27
Draw16%fair 6.45 · @5.50
LNZ Cherkasy13%fair 7.73 · @7.00
2.98Expected goals
2.21Sturm Graz xG
0.77LNZ Cherkasy xG
45%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 2.2 – 0.8 LNZ Cherkasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✗
72%
1.40
1.27
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Sturm Graz ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
Sturm Graz – last 6
WWDDWD
26 Jun
vs Mura
5–0
W
17 May
vs Rapid Vienna
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Lask Linz
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Lask Linz
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Rapid Vienna
2–0
W
20 Mar
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
LNZ Cherkasy – last 6
LWLWDL
27 Jun
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
24 May
@ Obolon'-Brovar
1–0
W
18 May
@ Kudrivka
0–1
L
13 May
vs SK Poltava
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1–1
D
18 Apr
@ Kolos Kovalivka
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and LNZ Cherkasy.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?
Our pick is Sturm Graz to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and LNZ Cherkasy 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 2–0 LNZ Cherkasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?
Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Sochi4
Ska-khabarovsk2
Waalwijk2
Rot-weiss Oberhausen1
Nyiregyhaza0
Zbrojovka Brno3
Levski Sofia5
Radnik Surdulica0
Brinje-Grosuplje0
HNK Rijeka3
Alloa Athletic0
Livingston3
Ayr Utd3
Dumbarton0
Raith Rovers4
Edinburgh City0