Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Ayr Utd take on Dumbarton on Tuesday 30 June, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Ayr Utd's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Glenafton Athletic 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dumbarton's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Linlithgow Rose 3–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 3.1 for Ayr Utd and 1.0 for Dumbarton. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ayr Utd 75%, draw 18%, Dumbarton 7%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ayr Utd 3–1 Dumbarton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayr Utd75%fair 1.34 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.50
Dumbarton7%fair 14.03 · @10.00
4.11Expected goals
3.06Ayr Utd xG
1.05Dumbarton xG
54%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–08%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 3.1 – 1.0 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ayr Utd to win✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Double chance
Ayr Utd or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Ayr Utd ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd✓
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Form
Ayr Utd – last 6
WLLLLD
27 Jun
vs Glenafton Athletic
3–0
W
1 May
vs ST Johnstone
0–1
L
7 Apr
vs Dunfermline
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Raith Rovers
0–3
L
10 Mar
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Arbroath
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dumbarton – last 4
LWDL
20 Jun
@ Linlithgow Rose
3–4
L
10 Mar
vs Stranraer
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Clyde
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ East Kilbride
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Dumbarton.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dumbarton 7%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 3–1 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?
Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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