Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03
TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar preview and prediction
The match
TSC Backa Topola host Grafičar in the Prva Liga on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at TSC Arena. TSC Backa Topola are 3rd with 34 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Grafičar sit 14th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
TSC Backa Topola's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Borac Cacak 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Grafičar's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Teleoptik 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
TSC Backa Topola arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for TSC Backa Topola and 0.8 for Grafičar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was TSC Backa Topola to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Grafičar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TSC Backa Topola71%fair 1.41 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Grafičar11%fair 8.98 · @8.00
3.00Expected goals
2.24TSC Backa Topola xG
0.76Grafičar xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: TSC Backa Topola 2.2 – 0.8 Grafičar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSC Backa Topola to win✓
71%
1.41
1.29
Double chance
TSC Backa Topola or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
TSC Backa Topola ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSC Backa Topola / FT TSC Backa Topola✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.03
–
Form
TSC Backa Topola – last 6
DDDWWD
26 Sep
@ Borac Cacak
2–2
D
21 Sep
vs Dubočica
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ Naftagas
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Loznica
4–0
W
7 Sep
@ FK Vozdovac
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grafičar – last 6
WLWLLL
28 Sep
vs Teleoptik
4–1
W
21 Sep
@ Metalac GM
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs OFK Bor 1919
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ OFK Vršac
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Borac Cacak
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Dubočica
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSC Backa Topola and Grafičar.
What is the prediction for TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?
Our pick is TSC Backa Topola to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?
On our numbers TSC Backa Topola have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Grafičar 11%.
How many goals will there be in TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?
Our predicted score is TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Grafičar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?
TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at TSC Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
