Prva Liga · SerbiaNapredak vs Loznica prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Loznica to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Napredak 1.3 – 1.3 Loznica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Napredak and Loznica on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Napredak have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Loznica have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Loznica come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Napredak, 1.3 for Loznica). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.72. For a bigger price, Loznica to win at 2.90 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Loznica to win ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Loznica / FT Loznica ✗ | 21% | 4.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.21 | – |
Form
Napredak – last 6
| 29 Sep | @ FK Vozdovac | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Semendrija 1924 | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs OFK Vršac | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Jedinstvo Ub | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Javor | 0–3 | L |
Loznica – last 6
| 28 Sep | vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Jedinstvo Ub | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs Javor | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ TSC Backa Topola | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Teleoptik | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Metalac GM | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napredak and Loznica.
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borac Cacak | 17 | +10 | 36 |
| 2 |  Javor | 17 | +20 | 34 |
| 3 |  TSC Backa Topola | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 4 |  OFK Vršac | 17 | +5 | 30 |
| 5 |  Dubočica | 17 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 |  Semendrija 1924 | 17 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  Napredak | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 |  FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 17 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Naftagas | 17 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  FK Vozdovac | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Loznica | 17 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Metalac GM | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Jedinstvo Ub | 17 | -6 | 18 |
| 14 |  Grafičar | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Teleoptik | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 16 |  OFK Bor 1919 | 17 | -25 | 8 |
More Prva Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Napredak vs Loznica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Napredak vs Loznica?
On our numbers Napredak have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Loznica 38%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs Loznica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Napredak vs Loznica?
Napredak vs Loznica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.