Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Napredak to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNapredak to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceNapredak or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Napredak vs OFK Vršac preview and prediction
The match
OFK Vršac travel to face Napredak in the Prva Liga on Wednesday 16 September (17:00 WAT). Napredak are 7th with 25 points from 17 games (in the top half), while OFK Vršac sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Napredak's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
OFK Vršac's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Grafičar 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
OFK Vršac arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Napredak and 0.6 for OFK Vršac. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 42%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Napredak to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Napredak or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Napredak 1–0 OFK Vršac. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napredak64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
OFK Vršac14%fair 7.11 · @3.75
2.36Expected goals
1.72Napredak xG
0.65OFK Vršac xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Napredak 1.7 – 0.6 OFK Vršac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napredak to win✗
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Napredak or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Napredak ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napredak / FT Napredak✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Napredak – last 6
LWLLDW
11 Sep
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Jedinstvo Ub
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Javor
0–3
L
23 Aug
vs TSC Backa Topola
1–2
L
19 Aug
@ Teleoptik
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Metalac GM
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
OFK Vršac – last 6
WLLWWW
12 Sep
vs Grafičar
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Borac Cacak
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Jedinstvo Ub
3–1
W
19 Aug
vs Dubočica
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Javor
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napredak and OFK Vršac.
Our pick is Napredak or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Napredak vs OFK Vršac?
On our numbers Napredak have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and OFK Vršac 14%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs OFK Vršac?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napredak vs OFK Vršac?
Our predicted score is Napredak 1–0 OFK Vršac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Napredak vs OFK Vršac?
Napredak vs OFK Vršac (Prva Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
