Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
TSC Backa Topola or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: TSC Backa Topola to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTSC Backa Topola to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola preview and prediction
The match
TSC Backa Topola travel to Gradski stadion in the Prva Liga on Wednesday 16 September (17:00 WAT) to face Naftagas. Naftagas are 9th with 22 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while TSC Backa Topola sit 3rd on 34 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naftagas's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Teleoptik 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
TSC Backa Topola's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Loznica 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
TSC Backa Topola arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Naftagas and 1.8 for TSC Backa Topola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: TSC Backa Topola or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Value angle: TSC Backa Topola to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was TSC Backa Topola or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Naftagas 0–1 TSC Backa Topola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naftagas20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
TSC Backa Topola59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
2.66Expected goals
0.90Naftagas xG
1.76TSC Backa Topola xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Naftagas 0.9 – 1.8 TSC Backa Topola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSC Backa Topola to win✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
TSC Backa Topola or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSC Backa Topola / FT TSC Backa Topola✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Naftagas – last 6
DDLWLL
10 Sep
@ Teleoptik
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Metalac GM
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ OFK Bor 1919
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Grafičar
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Borac Cacak
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Dubočica
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
TSC Backa Topola – last 6
WWDWDW
12 Sep
vs Loznica
4–0
W
7 Sep
@ FK Vozdovac
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Napredak
2–1
W
19 Aug
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Jedinstvo Ub
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftagas and TSC Backa Topola.
What is the prediction for Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our pick is TSC Backa Topola or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
On our numbers Naftagas have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and TSC Backa Topola 59%.
How many goals will there be in Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our predicted score is Naftagas 0–1 TSC Backa Topola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola?
Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola (Prva Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
