Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 67% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.91
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓6% · fair 16.72
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa preview and prediction
The match
Machida Zelvia host Urawa in the J1 League on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at National Olympic Stadium. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Urawa sit 6th on 25 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Urawa's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Machida Zelvia 1–0 Urawa. Across their last 2 meetings Machida Zelvia have won 2, Urawa 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 3.6 for Machida Zelvia and 1.9 for Urawa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 91% and both teams to score at 67%.
Safer route: Machida Zelvia or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 67% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Machida Zelvia or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 3–1 Urawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.25
Urawa13%fair 7.70 · @4.33
5.50Expected goals
3.57Machida Zelvia xG
1.93Urawa xG
67%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–16%
3–26%
4–15%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 3.6 – 1.9 Urawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Our pick is Machida Zelvia or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Urawa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 3–1 Urawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
