Value bet: Nagoya Grampus to win @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗55% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Nagoya Grampus take on Shimizu S-pulse on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are 3rd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Shimizu S-pulse sit 7th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Consadole Sapporo 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Karlsruher SC 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Shimizu S-pulse 0–2 Nagoya Grampus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.0 for Shimizu S-pulse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nagoya Grampus 55%, draw 21%, Shimizu S-pulse 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Nagoya Grampus to win at 2.10 – 55% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nagoya Grampus55%fair 1.80 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Shimizu S-pulse24%fair 4.25 · @3.40
2.72Expected goals
1.71Nagoya Grampus xG
1.00Shimizu S-pulse xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.7 – 1.0 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shimizu S-pulse 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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