Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Cerezo Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction
The match
Fagiano Okayama travel to Yodoko Sakura Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 8 August (11:00 WAT) to face Cerezo Osaka. Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Fagiano Okayama sit 6th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Borussia Dortmund 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to FC Schalke 04 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Fagiano Okayama 2–3 Cerezo Osaka. Across their last 2 meetings Cerezo Osaka have won 1, Fagiano Okayama 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Cerezo Osaka and 0.8 for Fagiano Okayama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Cerezo Osaka to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerezo Osaka or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Fagiano Okayama13%fair 7.66 · @3.80
2.78Expected goals
1.99Cerezo Osaka xG
0.79Fagiano Okayama xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 2.0 – 0.8 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fagiano Okayama 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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