Value bet: Veles to win @ 3.26 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Novosibirsk vs Veles preview and prediction
The match
Veles travel to Stadion Spartak in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 21 June (10:00 WAT) to face Novosibirsk.
Form guide
Novosibirsk's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Veles 1–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Veles's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Novosibirsk 4–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Novosibirsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 June 2026, finished Veles 4–1 Novosibirsk. Across their last 3 meetings Novosibirsk have won 1, Veles 2, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Novosibirsk and 1.1 for Veles. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Veles to win at 3.26 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Novosibirsk 1–1 Veles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novosibirsk41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.14
Veles35%fair 2.87 · @3.26
2.43Expected goals
1.28Novosibirsk xG
1.15Veles xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.3 – 1.1 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Veles?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Veles 35%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Veles?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Veles?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–1 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Veles?
Novosibirsk vs Veles (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
