Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Rentistas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRentistas to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.09
Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Rentistas host Uruguay Montevideo in the Segunda División on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Complejo Rentistas. Rentistas are 2nd with 40 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Uruguay Montevideo sit 14th on 22 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rentistas's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Oriental 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Miramar 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Rentistas and 0.7 for Uruguay Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Rentistas to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Rentistas 2–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rentistas57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Uruguay Montevideo18%fair 5.65 · @3.80
2.22Expected goals
1.52Rentistas xG
0.71Uruguay Montevideo xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rentistas 1.5 – 0.7 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rentistas to win✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Rentistas or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rentistas / FT Rentistas✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.09
–
Form
Rentistas – last 6
LLDWDL
14 Jun
@ Oriental
0–3
L
7 Jun
vs Colón
0–2
L
31 May
@ Fenix
1–1
D
17 May
vs Miramar
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Miramar
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Oriental
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Uruguay Montevideo – last 6
LLWLLL
13 Jun
vs Miramar
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Tacuarembo
0–1
L
30 May
vs Plaza Colonia
2–0
W
24 May
@ La Luz
0–2
L
9 May
@ Atenas
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Cerrito
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rentistas and Uruguay Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Rentistas have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Uruguay Montevideo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Rentistas 2–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Rentistas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
