Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.91
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Piast Gliwice take on Pogon Szczecin on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 11:15 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach. Piast Gliwice are 7th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pogon Szczecin sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Piast Gliwice's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Radomiak Radom 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Wieczysta Kraków 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Piast Gliwice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Piast Gliwice 0–2 Pogon Szczecin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Piast Gliwice and 1.4 for Pogon Szczecin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Pogon Szczecin to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piast Gliwice38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Pogon Szczecin38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
2.87Expected goals
1.43Piast Gliwice xG
1.44Pogon Szczecin xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.4 – 1.4 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pogon Szczecin 38%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
