Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom preview and prediction
The match
Lech Poznan host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski. Lech Poznan are 1st with 32 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Radomiak Radom sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lech Poznan's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Crystal Palace 0–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Radomiak Radom's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Piast Gliwice 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Lech Poznan and 0.6 for Radomiak Radom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lech Poznan 72%, draw 18%, Radomiak Radom 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lech Poznan to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lech Poznan 2–0 Radomiak Radom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lech Poznan72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.00
Radomiak Radom10%fair 10.08 · @8.00
2.60Expected goals
2.02Lech Poznan xG
0.58Radomiak Radom xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.0 – 0.6 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Lech Poznan – last 6
LLWWWD
17 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Raków Częstochowa
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Jagiellonia
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Widzew Łódź
3–2
W
27 Aug
@ FC Thun
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Radomiak Radom – last 6
LDWWDL
14 Sep
vs Piast Gliwice
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Korona Kielce II
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Cracovia Krakow
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Zaglebie Lubin
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Legia Warszawa
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Radomiak Radom.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
Our pick is Lech Poznan to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Radomiak Radom 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
