Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win ✓40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia travel to Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 30 August (13:45 WAT) to face Raków Częstochowa. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Jagiellonia sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Jagiellonia's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat FC Iberia 1999 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Jagiellonia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.3 for Jagiellonia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Jagiellonia to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa37%fair 2.68 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Jagiellonia40%fair 2.50 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.22Raków Częstochowa xG
1.28Jagiellonia xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.2 – 1.3 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jagiellonia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
