Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Gornik Zabrze or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Gornik Zabrze to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceGornik Zabrze or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Gornik Zabrze take on GKS Katowice on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla. Gornik Zabrze are 2nd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while GKS Katowice sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gornik Zabrze's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Monaco 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
GKS Katowice's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Wisla Plock 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
GKS Katowice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.2 for GKS Katowice. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Gornik Zabrze to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gornik Zabrze or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gornik Zabrze 2–1 GKS Katowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gornik Zabrze57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
GKS Katowice21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
3.29Expected goals
2.08Gornik Zabrze xG
1.21GKS Katowice xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 2.1 – 1.2 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Gornik Zabrze or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Gornik Zabrze ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
LLWDWL
27 Aug
@ Monaco
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
16 Aug
vs Wisla Krakow
2–1
W
13 Aug
vs Ferencvarosi TC
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
GKS Katowice – last 6
WLWLWW
23 Aug
vs Wisla Plock
5–0
W
16 Aug
@ Motor Lublin
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2–1
W
6 Aug
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
30 Jul
vs Žilina
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice.
What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?
Our pick is Gornik Zabrze or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?
On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and GKS Katowice 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?
Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 2–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?
Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
