Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Gornik Zabrze to win @ 3.05 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓42% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.55
Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze preview and prediction
The match
Gornik Zabrze travel to Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie in the Ekstraklasa on Thursday 3 September (17:00 WAT) to face Raków Częstochowa. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Jagiellonia 2–5 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gornik Zabrze's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to GKS Katowice 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Gornik Zabrze 3–1 Raków Częstochowa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.8 for Gornik Zabrze. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Gornik Zabrze to win at 3.05 – 42% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa35%fair 2.85 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Gornik Zabrze42%fair 2.37 · @3.05
3.33Expected goals
1.58Raków Częstochowa xG
1.75Gornik Zabrze xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.6 – 1.8 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gornik Zabrze 42%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
