Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Piast Gliwice to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Piast Gliwice host Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach. Piast Gliwice are 7th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Legia Warszawa sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Piast Gliwice's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Wieczysta Kraków 3–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Legia Warszawa's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Radomiak Radom 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Legia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Piast Gliwice and 1.8 for Legia Warszawa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piast Gliwice 34%, draw 21%, Legia Warszawa 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Piast Gliwice to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piast Gliwice34%fair 2.97 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Legia Warszawa46%fair 2.19 · @2.06
3.31Expected goals
1.51Piast Gliwice xG
1.80Legia Warszawa xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.5 – 1.8 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✗
46%
2.19
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Piast Gliwice – last 6
LLWLLD
15 Aug
vs Wieczysta Kraków
3–4
L
9 Aug
@ Lech Poznan
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Wisla Krakow
4–3
W
27 Jul
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Odra Opole
0–2
L
8 Jul
vs Miedz Legnica
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 6
WDWWLW
14 Aug
vs Radomiak Radom
5–0
W
8 Aug
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
24 Jul
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Aris
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piast Gliwice and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Legia Warszawa 46%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
