Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: GKS Katowice to win @ 2.42 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGKS Katowice to win ✗46% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice preview and prediction
The match
Motor Lublin host GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT) at Motor Lublin Arena. Motor Lublin are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while GKS Katowice sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Motor Lublin's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Pogon Szczecin 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
GKS Katowice's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished GKS Katowice 3–2 Motor Lublin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for Motor Lublin and 1.8 for GKS Katowice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Motor Lublin 34%, draw 19%, GKS Katowice 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.48.
Value angle: GKS Katowice to win at 2.42 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Motor Lublin 1–1 GKS Katowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motor Lublin34%fair 2.92 · @2.58
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
GKS Katowice46%fair 2.16 · @2.42
3.35Expected goals
1.53Motor Lublin xG
1.82GKS Katowice xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.5 – 1.8 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and GKS Katowice 46%.
How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
