Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win42% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.68
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia host Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Chorten Arena. Jagiellonia are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pogon Szczecin sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jagiellonia's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Rangers 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Motor Lublin 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Jagiellonia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Jagiellonia and 1.2 for Pogon Szczecin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Jagiellonia 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia42%fair 2.37 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.70
Pogon Szczecin36%fair 2.80 · @2.84
2.60Expected goals
1.37Jagiellonia xG
1.23Pogon Szczecin xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.4 – 1.2 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win
42%
2.37
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.68
–
Form
Jagiellonia – last 6
DLWWWW
13 Aug
@ Rangers
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Widzew Łódź
0–2
L
6 Aug
vs Rangers
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Korona Kielce
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ FC Nordsjaelland
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogon Szczecin – last 6
WWLLLW
8 Aug
vs Motor Lublin
3–1
W
3 Aug
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Legia Warszawa
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Sturm Graz
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Fenerbahçe
0–4
L
8 Jul
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Pogon Szczecin.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogon Szczecin 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
