Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Raków Częstochowa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin preview and prediction
The match
Zaglebie Lubin travel to Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow in the Ekstraklasa on Tuesday 15 September (17:00 WAT) to face Raków Częstochowa. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Motor Lublin 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Zaglebie Lubin's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat GKS Katowice 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Zaglebie Lubin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.9 for Zaglebie Lubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Raków Częstochowa or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Raków Częstochowa to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Raków Częstochowa or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
Zaglebie Lubin20%fair 4.97 · @3.90
2.64Expected goals
1.74Raków Częstochowa xG
0.90Zaglebie Lubin xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.7 – 0.9 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WLLLDD
11 Sep
vs Motor Lublin
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Jagiellonia
2–5
L
27 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin – last 6
WDLDDW
12 Sep
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
7 Sep
@ Wieczysta Kraków
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Pogon Szczecin
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Radomiak Radom
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Raków Częstochowa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zaglebie Lubin 20%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
