Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Gornik Zabrze to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze preview and prediction
The match
Korona Kielce host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa on Tuesday 15 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Exbud Arena. Korona Kielce are 11th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Korona Kielce's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Slask Wroclaw 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Gornik Zabrze's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Lech Poznan 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Korona Kielce arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Korona Kielce and 1.4 for Gornik Zabrze. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korona Kielce 34%, draw 22%, Gornik Zabrze 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Gornik Zabrze to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Korona Kielce 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korona Kielce34%fair 2.90 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Gornik Zabrze44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
2.64Expected goals
1.22Korona Kielce xG
1.42Gornik Zabrze xG
62%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.2 – 1.4 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✓
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Form
Korona Kielce – last 6
WDWWDW
12 Sep
@ Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Widzew Łódź
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Wisla Plock
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Motor Lublin
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Widzew Łódź
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
WWWLLL
12 Sep
vs Lech Poznan
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Raków Częstochowa
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
2–3
L
27 Aug
@ Monaco
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gornik Zabrze 44%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
