Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✓49% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin preview and prediction
The match
Pogon Szczecin host Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Pogon Szczecin are 4th with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Motor Lublin sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Cracovia Krakow 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Motor Lublin's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Jagiellonia 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Motor Lublin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.2 for Motor Lublin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogon Szczecin 49%, draw 20%, Motor Lublin 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Motor Lublin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogon Szczecin49%fair 2.03 · @2.02
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Motor Lublin30%fair 3.28 · @3.35
2.80Expected goals
1.61Pogon Szczecin xG
1.19Motor Lublin xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.6 – 1.2 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogon Szczecin to win✓
49%
2.03
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogon Szczecin / FT Pogon Szczecin✓
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
Pogon Szczecin – last 6
WLLLWL
3 Aug
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Legia Warszawa
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Sturm Graz
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Fenerbahçe
0–4
L
8 Jul
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 6
LDWWWW
31 Jul
vs Jagiellonia
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Widzew Łódź
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Hapoel Katamon
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Polonia Warszawa
2–1
W
3 Jul
vs Warta Poznań
4–1
W
27 Jun
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogon Szczecin and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Motor Lublin 30%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
