Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Legia Warszawa travel to Exbud Arena in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 8 August (19:15 WAT) to face Korona Kielce. Korona Kielce are 11th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Legia Warszawa sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Korona Kielce's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Jagiellonia 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Legia Warszawa's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Legia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Korona Kielce and 1.2 for Legia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korona Kielce 35%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Korona Kielce 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korona Kielce35%fair 2.87 · @2.76
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Legia Warszawa41%fair 2.42 · @2.48
2.28Expected goals
1.08Korona Kielce xG
1.21Legia Warszawa xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.1 – 1.2 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✗
41%
2.42
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Korona Kielce – last 6
LLDDWD
25 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Nieciecza
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Stal Rzeszów
0–0
D
9 Jul
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Zemplín Michalovce
4–0
W
23 May
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 6
WWLWWW
2 Aug
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
24 Jul
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Aris
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
14 Jul
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
10 Jul
vs AS Trencin
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Legia Warszawa 41%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
