Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Le Mans to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLe Mans to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Estac Troyes take on Le Mans on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stade de l'Aube. Estac Troyes are 17th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Le Mans sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Estac Troyes's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Toulouse 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Le Mans's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Auxerre 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Le Mans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Estac Troyes and 1.5 for Le Mans. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estac Troyes 37%, draw 24%, Le Mans 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Le Mans to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estac Troyes37%fair 2.73 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Le Mans40%fair 2.52 · @2.90
3.00Expected goals
1.47Estac Troyes xG
1.53Le Mans xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.5 – 1.5 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Mans to win✗
40%
2.52
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Mans / FT Le Mans✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.64
–
Form
Estac Troyes – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Oct
@ Toulouse
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Lille
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–6
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
DLLWDD
25 Oct
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Toulouse
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Le Mans.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Le Mans 40%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Aube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
