Value bet: Stade Brestois 29 to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Brestois 29 to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.38
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 preview and prediction
The match
Stade Brestois 29 travel to Stade du Moustoir in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October (20:45 WAT) to face Lorient. Lorient are 10th with 15 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Stade Brestois 29 sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lorient's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Angers 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stade Brestois 29's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Nice 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lorient arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Lorient and 1.2 for Stade Brestois 29. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Stade Brestois 29 to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lorient38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Stade Brestois 2938%fair 2.64 · @2.88
2.44Expected goals
1.22Lorient xG
1.22Stade Brestois 29 xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lorient 1.2 – 1.2 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 to win✓
38%
2.64
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Brestois 29 / FT Stade Brestois 29✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.38
–
Form
Lorient – last 6
DWWLDW
25 Oct
@ Angers
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Monaco
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Paris FC
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Le Mans
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Toulouse
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Lens
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 6
LDWDLL
23 Oct
vs Nice
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Lille
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Angers
5–1
W
3 Oct
vs Monza
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Auxerre
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorient and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Lorient have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stade Brestois 29 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
