Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToulouse to win ✗64% · @1.57
Double chanceToulouse or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.54
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes preview and prediction
The match
Estac Troyes travel to Stadium Municipal in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 24 October (16:15 WAT) to face Toulouse. Toulouse are 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Estac Troyes sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Toulouse's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Le Mans 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Estac Troyes's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Lens 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Toulouse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Toulouse and 0.9 for Estac Troyes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Toulouse to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Toulouse 2–0 Estac Troyes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toulouse64%fair 1.55 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.00
Estac Troyes13%fair 7.58 · @5.00
3.14Expected goals
2.20Toulouse xG
0.94Estac Troyes xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Toulouse 2.2 – 0.9 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toulouse to win✗
64%
1.55
1.57
Double chance
Toulouse or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Toulouse ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toulouse / FT Toulouse✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.54
–
Form
Toulouse – last 6
WDWDLD
16 Oct
@ Le Mans
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Monaco
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Lorient
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Lille
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
LLLLLW
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Lille
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–6
L
29 Aug
@ Lorient
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Toulouse to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Toulouse have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estac Troyes 13%.
How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Toulouse 2–0 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Municipal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
