Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLens to win ✓42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.36
Lens vs Paris FC preview and prediction
The match
Paris FC travel to Stade Bollaert-Delelis in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 24 October (19:45 WAT) to face Lens. Lens are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Paris FC sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lens's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Club Brugge KV 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Paris FC's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Rennes 4–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Paris FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Lens and 1.5 for Paris FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 42%, draw 23%, Paris FC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Lens 1–1 Paris FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens42%fair 2.37 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Paris FC35%fair 2.86 · @2.70
3.14Expected goals
1.66Lens xG
1.48Paris FC xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lens 1.7 – 1.5 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✓
42%
2.37
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.36
–
Form
Lens – last 6
LWLWLD
21 Oct
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Sporting CP
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Lyon
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Monaco
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Le Mans
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Paris FC – last 6
WLWDWW
18 Oct
vs Rennes
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Lorient
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Lyon
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Marseille
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Nice
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Paris FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lens vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Lens have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paris FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Paris FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–1 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Paris FC?
Lens vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
