Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✗85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Paris Saint Germain take on Monaco on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 20:05 (WAT) at Parc des Princes. Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Monaco sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Lille 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Monaco's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Marseille 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Monaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Monaco. Across their last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain have won 1, Monaco 1, with 1 draw and 4.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.9 for Monaco. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 69%, draw 16%, Monaco 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paris Saint Germain to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Monaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris Saint Germain69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw16%fair 6.30 · @5.40
Monaco15%fair 6.53 · @5.90
3.08Expected goals
2.20Paris Saint Germain xG
0.88Monaco xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.2 – 0.9 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Monaco 15%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:05 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
