Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceLyon or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Lyon vs Auxerre preview and prediction
The match
Lyon host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. Lyon are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Auxerre sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lyon's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Le Havre 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Auxerre's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Angers 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Lyon and 1.1 for Auxerre. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyon 65%, draw 20%, Auxerre 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lyon 2–1 Auxerre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyon65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.20
Auxerre15%fair 6.57 · @6.00
3.36Expected goals
2.31Lyon xG
1.06Auxerre xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lyon 2.3 – 1.1 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Double chance
Lyon or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.48
Half-time result
Lyon ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Form
Lyon – last 6
DLWDWL
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Sparta Praha
3–0
W
4 Aug
@ Sparta Praha
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 6
LLWDDL
29 Aug
vs Angers
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Lens
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lyon vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Lyon have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Auxerre 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Auxerre?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Lyon 2–1 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Auxerre?
Lyon vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
