Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Nice to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNice to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceNice or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Nice vs Le Mans preview and prediction
The match
Nice host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Allianz Riviera. Nice are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Le Mans sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nice's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Paris FC 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Le Mans's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Rennes 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Nice and 1.0 for Le Mans. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nice 60%, draw 20%, Le Mans 20%.
Safer route: Nice or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Nice to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nice or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nice 1–1 Le Mans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nice60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.50
Le Mans20%fair 5.02 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
1.97Nice xG
1.03Le Mans xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nice 2.0 – 1.0 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nice to win✗
60%
1.66
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Nice or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Nice ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nice / FT Nice✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Nice – last 6
LDDDLW
30 Aug
@ Paris FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Lorient
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Hull City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Juventus
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Nimes
4–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
LDLDWW
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Angers
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Le Mans.
Our pick is Nice or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nice vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Nice have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Le Mans 20%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Le Mans?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Le Mans?
Nice vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
