Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLens to win ✗71% · @1.44
Double chanceLens or draw ✗90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Lens vs Lorient preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Lens take on Lorient on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lens are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lorient sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lens's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Strasbourg 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Lorient's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Estac Troyes 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Lens and 0.8 for Lorient. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 71%, draw 19%, Lorient 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lens 2–0 Lorient. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens71%fair 1.41 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.35
Lorient10%fair 10.46 · @6.80
3.14Expected goals
2.35Lens xG
0.79Lorient xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lens 2.3 – 0.8 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✗
71%
1.41
1.44
Double chance
Lens or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Half-time result
Lens ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.33
–
Form
Lens – last 6
LWWLWD
29 Aug
@ Strasbourg
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Auxerre
5–2
W
16 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Sunderland
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Villarreal
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Charleroi
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 6
LDLLWW
29 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nice
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Angers
1–2
L
4 Aug
vs UNFP
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Guingamp
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Lorient.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lens vs Lorient?
On our numbers Lens have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lorient 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Lorient?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–0 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Lorient?
Lens vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
