Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRennes to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceRennes or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Rennes vs Le Mans preview and prediction
The match
Le Mans travel to Roazhon Park in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 30 August (16:15 WAT) to face Rennes. Rennes are 8th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Le Mans sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rennes's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Paris Saint Germain 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Le Mans's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Stade Brestois 29 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Le Mans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Rennes and 1.4 for Le Mans. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rennes 65%, draw 18%, Le Mans 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rennes 2–1 Le Mans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rennes65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.60
Le Mans17%fair 5.83 · @6.50
4.00Expected goals
2.65Rennes xG
1.35Le Mans xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Rennes 2.6 – 1.4 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rennes to win✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
Rennes or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Rennes ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rennes / FT Rennes✓
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Rennes – last 6
DLLLDW
23 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Sunderland
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Brentford
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Brentford U21
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Galatasaray
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Club Brugge KV
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
DLDWWW
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Angers
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Versailles
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rennes and Le Mans.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rennes vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Rennes have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Le Mans 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Le Mans?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Rennes 2–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Rennes vs Le Mans?
Rennes vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
