Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarseille to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.60
Monaco vs Marseille preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Monaco take on Marseille on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Louis II. Monaco are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Marseille sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monaco's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Gornik Zabrze 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Marseille's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Strasbourg 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Monaco 2–1 Marseille.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Monaco and 1.3 for Marseille. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monaco 38%, draw 23%, Marseille 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Monaco 1–1 Marseille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monaco38%fair 2.65 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Marseille40%fair 2.52 · @2.62
2.50Expected goals
1.23Monaco xG
1.27Marseille xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Monaco 1.2 – 1.3 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Monaco vs Marseille?
On our numbers Monaco have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marseille 40%.
How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Marseille?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Monaco 1–1 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Monaco vs Marseille?
Monaco vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
