Value bet: PAU to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantes to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
PAU vs Nantes preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees PAU take on Nantes on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Nouste Camp. PAU are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Nantes sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
PAU's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Metz 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nantes's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Clermont Foot 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
PAU arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for PAU and 1.3 for Nantes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAU 37%, draw 24%, Nantes 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: PAU to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: PAU 1–1 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAU37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Nantes39%fair 2.59 · @2.20
2.66Expected goals
1.32PAU xG
1.34Nantes xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: PAU 1.3 – 1.3 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✓
39%
2.59
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✓
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
PAU – last 6
WWWWWL
30 Oct
@ Metz
3–1
W
23 Oct
vs Grenoble
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Guingamp
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Laval
3–2
W
18 Sep
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ Montpellier
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
DLLDWL
30 Oct
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Saint Etienne
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Dunkerque
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Reims
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Boulogne
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Nantes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
On our numbers PAU have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nantes 39%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Nantes?
PAU vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
