Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontpellier to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Montpellier vs Metz preview and prediction
The match
Montpellier host Metz in the Ligue 2 on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier are 3rd with 24 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Metz sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Montpellier's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Annecy 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metz's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to PAU 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Montpellier arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Montpellier and 0.9 for Metz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montpellier 57%, draw 25%, Metz 17%.
Safer route: Montpellier or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Montpellier or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montpellier 1–0 Metz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montpellier57%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Metz17%fair 5.74 · @3.90
2.74Expected goals
1.82Montpellier xG
0.92Metz xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.8 – 0.9 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Montpellier or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Half-time result
Montpellier ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
Montpellier – last 6
WWWWDW
31 Oct
@ Annecy
3–0
W
26 Oct
vs RED Star FC 93
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Rodez
3–0
W
9 Oct
vs Grenoble
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Reims
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs PAU
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
LDWLDL
30 Oct
vs PAU
1–3
L
23 Oct
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Sochaux
3–2
W
12 Oct
@ Dijon
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–2
D
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montpellier and Metz.
Our pick is Montpellier or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metz 17%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Metz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–0 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Metz?
Montpellier vs Metz (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
