Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: PAU to win @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAU to win ✓65% · @1.83
Double chancePAU or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
PAU vs Grenoble preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees PAU take on Grenoble on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Nouste Camp. PAU are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Grenoble sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
PAU's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Guingamp 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Grenoble's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Boulogne 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
PAU arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for PAU and 0.6 for Grenoble. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAU 65%, draw 21%, Grenoble 14%.
Safer route: PAU or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: PAU to win at 1.83 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was PAU or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PAU 1–0 Grenoble. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAU65%fair 1.54 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.30
Grenoble14%fair 7.19 · @4.20
2.39Expected goals
1.75PAU xG
0.64Grenoble xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: PAU 1.7 – 0.6 Grenoble expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✓
65%
1.54
1.83 ▲
Double chance
PAU or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
PAU ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAU / FT PAU✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
PAU – last 6
WWWLDD
16 Oct
@ Guingamp
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Laval
3–2
W
18 Sep
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ Montpellier
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Sochaux
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Rodez
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grenoble – last 6
LLDDWL
16 Oct
vs Boulogne
0–2
L
9 Oct
@ Montpellier
0–2
L
2 Oct
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Rodez
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Annecy
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Grenoble.
Our pick is PAU or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
On our numbers PAU have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grenoble 14%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Grenoble?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Grenoble?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–0 Grenoble, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Grenoble?
PAU vs Grenoble (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
