Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetz to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Dunkerque vs Metz preview and prediction
The match
Metz travel to Stade Marcel Tribut in the Ligue 2 on Friday 23 October (19:00 WAT) to face Dunkerque. Dunkerque are 10th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Metz sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dunkerque's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Nantes 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Metz's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Sochaux 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Dunkerque and 1.6 for Metz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dunkerque 36%, draw 24%, Metz 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Dunkerque 1–1 Metz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dunkerque36%fair 2.79 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Metz40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
3.11Expected goals
1.50Dunkerque xG
1.61Metz xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Dunkerque 1.5 – 1.6 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✗
40%
2.48
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Form
Dunkerque – last 6
WLLWDL
17 Oct
@ Nantes
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Annecy
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ PAU
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Nancy
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
WLDLWD
17 Oct
vs Sochaux
3–2
W
12 Oct
@ Dijon
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–2
D
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Rodez
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Annecy
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunkerque and Metz.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
On our numbers Dunkerque have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Metz 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dunkerque vs Metz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Dunkerque 1–1 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dunkerque vs Metz?
Dunkerque vs Metz (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Tribut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
