Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Reims to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReims to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceReims or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Reims vs Montpellier preview and prediction
The match
Montpellier travel to Stade Auguste-Delaune in the Ligue 2 on Friday 18 September (19:00 WAT) to face Reims. Reims are 4th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Montpellier sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Reims's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Nancy 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Montpellier's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat PAU 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Montpellier 0–0 Reims.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Reims and 0.8 for Montpellier. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Reims to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Reims or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Reims 1–0 Montpellier. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Reims60%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.40
Montpellier14%fair 6.97 · @4.00
2.58Expected goals
1.80Reims xG
0.78Montpellier xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Reims 1.8 – 0.8 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Reims or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Reims vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Reims have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montpellier 14%.
How many goals will there be in Reims vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reims vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Reims 1–0 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Reims vs Montpellier?
Reims vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste-Delaune.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
