Value bet: Dunkerque to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDunkerque to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.59
PAU vs Dunkerque preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees PAU take on Dunkerque on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Nouste Camp. PAU are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Dunkerque sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
PAU's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Montpellier 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dunkerque's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Saint Etienne 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for PAU and 1.3 for Dunkerque. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAU 37%, draw 24%, Dunkerque 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Dunkerque to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: PAU 1–1 Dunkerque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAU37%fair 2.70 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Dunkerque39%fair 2.56 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.23PAU xG
1.27Dunkerque xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: PAU 1.2 – 1.3 Dunkerque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunkerque to win✗
39%
2.56
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunkerque / FT Dunkerque✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.59
–
Form
PAU – last 6
LDDLWL
11 Sep
@ Montpellier
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Sochaux
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Rodez
2–2
D
21 Aug
vs Nancy
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Dijon
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dunkerque – last 6
WDLLDW
12 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Nancy
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Reims
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Dunkerque.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win PAU vs Dunkerque?
On our numbers PAU have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dunkerque 39%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Dunkerque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Dunkerque?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–1 Dunkerque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Dunkerque?
PAU vs Dunkerque (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
