Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Metz to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Metz vs Saint Etienne preview and prediction
The match
Saint Etienne travel to Stade Saint-Symphorien in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 19 September (19:00 WAT) to face Metz. Metz are 7th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Saint Etienne sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Metz's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to RED Star FC 93 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Saint Etienne's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Dunkerque 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Saint Etienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Metz and 1.7 for Saint Etienne. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metz 33%, draw 21%, Saint Etienne 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Metz to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Metz 1–1 Saint Etienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metz33%fair 3.08 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Saint Etienne46%fair 2.15 · @2.00
3.00Expected goals
1.34Metz xG
1.66Saint Etienne xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.3 – 1.7 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✗
46%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.88
–
Form
Metz – last 6
LWDDDW
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Rodez
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Annecy
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Laval
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Guingamp
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Montpellier
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Dijon
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Clermont Foot
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Saint Etienne.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Metz vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Metz have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Saint Etienne 46%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Saint Etienne?
Metz vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
