Value bet: Boulogne to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantes to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Boulogne vs Nantes preview and prediction
The match
Boulogne host Nantes in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stade de la Libération. Boulogne are 12th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Nantes sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boulogne's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Clermont Foot 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nantes's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Sochaux 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Boulogne and 1.0 for Nantes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boulogne 35%, draw 25%, Nantes 39%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Boulogne to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Boulogne 0–1 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boulogne35%fair 2.82 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Nantes39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
2.00Expected goals
0.96Boulogne xG
1.04Nantes xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Boulogne 1.0 – 1.0 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✓
39%
2.55
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.13
–
Form
Boulogne – last 6
DDDDLD
11 Sep
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Dijon
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Montpellier
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Nancy
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
LWDLLL
12 Sep
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Nancy
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Rodez
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boulogne and Nantes.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Boulogne vs Nantes?
On our numbers Boulogne have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nantes 39%.
How many goals will there be in Boulogne vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boulogne vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Boulogne 0–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Boulogne vs Nantes?
Boulogne vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Libération.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
