Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantes to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.61
Sochaux vs Nantes preview and prediction
The match
Nantes travel to Stade Auguste Bonal in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 12 September (13:00 WAT) to face Sochaux. Sochaux are 16th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Nantes sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sochaux's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with PAU 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nantes's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Nancy 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Sochaux and 1.3 for Nantes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sochaux 34%, draw 24%, Nantes 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Sochaux to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Sochaux 1–1 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sochaux34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Nantes42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
2.40Expected goals
1.12Sochaux xG
1.28Nantes xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.1 – 1.3 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.61
–
Form
Sochaux – last 6
DDWDLD
4 Sep
@ PAU
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guingamp
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Saint Etienne
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Auxerre
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
WDLLLW
7 Sep
vs Nancy
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Rodez
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Nantes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sochaux vs Nantes?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nantes 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Nantes?
Sochaux vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste Bonal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
